Archive for the ‘GOP nominee 2012’ Category
Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels spoke at CPAC last week and gave a speech that was both appropriate and articulate. I wrote about Governor Daniels in December and then I was impressed that the state of Indiana ran a surplus in his first term. This gives him the credibility to say what he said at CPAC. You can read the full text of his speech or listen to the audio.
Below is a portion of the speech which is centered around our national debt. Daniels says it is our generation’s red menace and that this course must be reversed.
That part of his speech was the most significant and has seemed to create the most attention but there were other important lines which I have listed below.
Today’s EPA should be renamed the “Employment Prevention Agency.” After a two-year orgy of new regulation, President Obama’s recent executive order was a wonderment, as though the number one producer of rap music had suddenly expressed alarm about obscenity.
Seven years as a practitioner in elective politics tells me that history’s skeptics are wrong. That Americans, in a vast majority, are still a people born for self-governance. They are ready to summon the discipline to pay down our collective debts as they are now paying down their own; to put the future before the present, their children’s interest before their own.
Purity in martyrdom is for suicide bombers. King Pyrrhus is remembered, but his nation disappeared. Winston Churchill set aside his lifetime loathing of Communism in order to fight World War II. Challenged as a hypocrite, he said that when the safety of Britain was at stake, his “conscience became a good girl.” We are at such a moment. I for one have no interest in standing in the wreckage of our Republic saying “I told you so” or “You should’ve done it my way.”
Most who follow elections closely remember John Thune defeating then Senate Democratic leader Tom Daschle in 2004. However, since then Thune has somewhat flown under the radar.
Although he has not been as outspoken as some elected officials Thune has been a strong conservative. In 2009 (2010 ratings are not out yet) the American Conservative Union gave him a perfect rating. Only 10 Senators received the perfect rating, one of those being conservative rock star Jim DeMint.
I was honored to listen to Senator Thune speak at the 2009 Knox County Republican Party Lincoln Day Dinner. This was the first time I had heard him speak and I was very impressed. Initially what stands out about Thune is his appearance. First off he is 6′ 4” and John McCain even jokingly said that if he had his face he would be president right now. But the best aspect of Thune is that he has substance to what he says. He comes across as intelligent but it’s not an elitist vernacular. Rather it is a confidence in American values that he exudes while speaking that make it easy to understand where he is coming from and where he stands.
New York Times Op-Ed Columnist David Brooks wrote a piece in 2009 about Thune and even he was impressed saying,
He says his prairie background has given him a preference for small companies and local government. When he criticizes the Democrats, it is for mixing big government with big business: the bailouts of Wall Street, the subsidies to the big auto and energy corporations. His populism is not angry. He doesn’t rail against the malefactors of wealth. But it’s there, a celebration of the small and local over the big and urban.
Senator Thune has recently been picking up momentum in the national media. Last week ABC News did a profile on his chances in 2012, and Jill Lawrence wrote an excellent piece on the Senator from South Dakota just a few days ago where she mentioned that he might be a great presidential candidate because of what he has NOT done.
He wasn’t once a tobacco lobbyist (Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour). He isn’t a former governor who raised taxes (Mike Huckabee of Arkansas) or signed a health law similar to “Obamacare” (Mitt Romney of Massachusetts) or quit halfway through (Sarah Palin of Alaska) or seems boring (Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota). He hasn’t had three wives and a widely publicized extramarital affair (former House speaker Newt Gingrich).
A big question I have about Thune is whether he will have enough money to be a serious contender or not. Right now it is too early to tell but I think there are some encouraging early signs. In the 2010 year-end fundraising period he came in tied for fourth in total money raised. Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, and Rick Santorum were all ahead of him and he was tied with Representative Michelle Bachmann (R-MN). I find this very interesting because all of these other potential candidates have been unofficially running and speaking in early primary states. Also, the three ahead of Thune do not currently hold a political office. Although Thune is fourth his numbers are far lower than the three above him, but I believe if he were trying to raise a great deal of money than his numbers would be competitive with Romney, Palin, and Santorum.
According to Lawrence’s article he will decide on whether to run or not by the end of February. I for one hopes he decides to take the plunge.
Jonathan Martin wrote an excellent piece in Politico today on Mitt Romney’s chances in 2012 entitled, “A big warning sign for Mitt Romney.”
Martin writes that many key supporters of Romney in 2008 have not said that they would fully support the candidate running again in 2012. It is obviously still very early and Romney has not even officially announced he is running yet, but as the author points out the key endorsement of his last presidential bid is remaining uncommitted.
Former Sen. Judd Gregg (R-N.H.) the top elected official in the Granite State whose endorsement of Romney in 2008 was seen as a pivotal moment, said in an interview that he’s firmly undecided about who he’ll back in next year’s primary.
If Senator Gregg ends up supporting someone other than Romney it would be a big blow to him in a state that he very much needs to win.
As the article also points out another key state that Romney would like to win is South Carolina. Senator Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) a former Romney supporter and perhaps more importantly a huge influence among conservatives supported Romney in 2008 but has also not committed to supporting him in 2012.
One thing that could work to Romney’s favor this time around is that Romney supported numerous candidates in 2010 and here in Tennessee he supported current Governor Bill Haslam. If Haslam returns the favor it could catapult him into winning the Tennessee Republican primary which he lost to Mike Huckabee in 2008.
It is much too early to tell how relevant the “non-endorsements” are to his chances. But it is certain that if Romney runs he will need a combination of new support and old support to secure the nomination.
“What the president has done — and this is the typical left: We know better, we’ll structure the marketplace, we’ll run it and it’ll be better than if people do it in the private sector. It’s a lie. It doesn’t work.” These are the words of former Senator Rick Santorum in an article from The Hill today about a possible presidential run. In the article written by Shane D’Aprile he says that Santorum has been to Iowa more than any other GOP possible presidential nominee.
Here are a few thoughts about a probable Santorum run…
- Much like Herman Cain, Santorum will struggle financially. He will not be able to contend with the likes of Romney, Gingrich, etc. However Huckabee did not have much money in 2008 and he was able to win in Iowa so it certainly is smart to campaign hard there which is what he appears to be doing.
- Santorum has not been afraid to say some bold things and he has had many circumstances where he made a stupid statement. After Hurricane Katrina he encouraged giving tougher penalties to those who chose not to leave area after they were warned. This is just one example, but in doing some research it would not surprise me if he would make many more of these statements if he did run.
- As this Newsweek article points out Santorum is putting in a lot of hard work in Iowa which is sure to pay off but he may be too similar to the aforementioned Mike Huckabee. As the piece points out Huckabee is likely to run again and he has strong support there so Santorum would likely have to beat him out in particular because they are both social conservatives.
UPDATE (January 20th) : As I mentioned above there is a good chance that Santorum will say something stupid and he has already done that. Playing the race card on Obama is not a good idea…
Herman Cain has announced he will be forming a presidential exploratory committee. Unless there is some major setback, controversy, etc. I believe Cain will announce his candidacy. He has already launched a website and is accepting donations.
Cain has a strong business background and a truly American story. He became very popular during the early stages of the tea party movement and has continued to increase his support. I will certainly list more biographical information if he officially announces his candidacy, but now I want to list a few immediate reactions I have to his possible candidacy.
- Running a business gives you credibility to be an elected official. Anyone who has ran a business knows what kind of hurdles they must overcome that the government throws at them. They also know what life is like for the vast majority of Americans who do have to work a job to make a living. Especially in this day and age we feel politicians don’t listen to the American people or have any idea what is going on outside the beltway but Cain does. Cain has been a businessman virtually his whole life and he has had a great deal of success.
- Going off my last point he is the prototypical non-establishment candidate. This was extremely appealing to constituents in 2010 and it could possibly be appealing to Republicans in picking a nominee for President. If the Tea Party movement continues to have success and influence the fact that he has spent his whole life outside of the Washington bubble will help him tremendously.
- He has never been elected to public office. This would be a big setback and a point of major criticism right from the start. However going back to my first reaction this can easily be changed into a positive.
Matt Lewis has a very detailed column about Cain written 6 months ago which gives some good insight into his chances to win in 2012. I will be interested to see what people’s early receptions are to Cain and how much early publicity he gets because that will define his chances.
Being the governor of a low profile state in the Midwest does not offer the publicity of states such as California, New York, etc. However, what does offer good publicity is taking a multimillion dollar deficit which he inherited and turning it into a $1.3 billion surplus by the end of his first term.
Mona Charen had a great piece on Friday about the governor which lists his past success and possible bid for the White House. As with any potential candidate right now there are few if any signs that he may or may not run and also like any candidate there are certain downsides to a presidential bid. As the above article states, “he favored a temporary truce on social issues.” Overall though he is a strong conservative and one that looks more appealing as a presidential candidate as time goes on.
It’s all but certain that Sarah Palin will run for president in 2012, especially with her aides looking for office space in Iowa. That added with her new book and tour seem to indicate that a presidential run is a certainty.
It seems that many Republicans from those who are more moderate to those who claim to be a part of the tea party are hesitant to support such a run. Mona Charen wrote a piece over the weekend detailing why Palin shouldn’t run. Everyone seems so willing to give answers as to why she should not run listing all the things she has done wrong during the time between her bid as the Vice Presidential nominee until now. Most fail to mention the success candidates she endorsed had in the mid-term elections. 51 out of the 61 candidates she supported in the primaries won and so far 32 of those candidates have won in the general election. Two of the biggest races where a Palin backed GOP candidate won were the gubernatorial races in South Carolina and New Mexico which saw Nikki Haley and Susana Martinez win. She has brought about a great wave of support among women to the right and that support came to fruition with these women winning and both becoming the first female governors of their respective states. Her PAC produced a great video highlighting the support she has created among women.
One thing I have trouble comprehending is the absolute hate the left has for GOP women in general but especially Palin. Michelle Malkin has detailed what she has called “Palin derangement syndrome” since the last presidential election. Here is her post describing the left making fun of Palin for referring to the tea party of 1773. The left went crazy over how stupid she was for referring to a tea party in 1773…nevermind that was the actual year of the Boston Tea Party. I could write a novel on the absurd number of false attacks she has endured over the past few years but I need to sleep at some point and more importantly I’m not getting paid for this.
The main objection most Republicans seem to have against Palin is that she is not electable in a general election. Many think she could win the primary but she would fail in the general election. Quinnipiac University released a poll today giving evidence to support that argument. I felt the same way in 2008 about a certain presidential candidate. This person came from nowhere and was running against the establishment of his party. He seemed to be entirely too radical to ever get elected in a general election so I was really hoping he would win. Then Barack Obama went on to win the presidency in a near landslide. Besides the obvious ideological differences, Obama and Palin are about as different as two people can be and Palin winning in 2012 would be very different than Obama winning in 2008, but there are certain parallels that can’t be ignored.
Will Sarah Palin be the Republican nominee? No one knows for sure. I don’t even know if I would vote for her. However, she is certainly more qualified than this bozo and the rest of the Obama clan. All I know is that I can’t wait for 2012 because if it’s Palin, Gingrich, Pawlenty, or an unknown there will be a Republican elected President.
I’m very anxious to see what happens this November in the mid-term elections, but I’m already anxious for the 2012 elections especially the presidential election. Less than 2 years into Obama’s presidency I already feel optimistic that Republicans will take back the White House. The GOP will have to put out a great candidate because no matter how bad an incumbent is they are always hard to get out of office.
Charles Krauthammer wrote a very insightful article today which acknowledged that a win for Republicans this fall could backfire in 2012. He uses the example of Bill Clinton gaining re-election in 1996 after Republicans took control of Congress in 1994.
I have not fully decided on what candidate I want to support in 2012 yet, but I will list my top 4 choices in alphabetical order.
- Mitch Daniels
- Newt Gingrich
- Mike Huckabee
- Tim Pawlenty
And yes Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney are not in my top 4.